A Risk Model for the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) in the Prairie Provinces of Canada

TitleA Risk Model for the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis (Acari: Ixodidae) in the Prairie Provinces of Canada
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2017
AuthorsGabriele-Rivet V, Koffi JK, Pelcat Y, Arsenault J, Cheng A, Lindsay LR, Lysyk TJ, Rochon K, Ogden NH
JournalJ Med Entomol
Volume2017 Feb 26
Date Published02/2017
KeywordsCanada; Ixodes scapularis; Lyme disease; Prairie Provinces; Risk map
Abstract

We developed a map of potential risk areas for future I. scapularis establishment in the Canadian Prairie Provinces. Six I. scapularis risk algorithms were developed using different formulations of three indices for environmental suitability. This algorithm had good (>80%) sensitivity in predicting positive I. scapularis surveillance sites, but low (50%) specificity as expected in this region where not all environmentally suitable habitats are expected to be occupied.

URLhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28399276