Expansion of the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada Inferred from CMIP5 Climate Projections

TitleExpansion of the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada Inferred from CMIP5 Climate Projections
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2017
AuthorsMcPherson, M, García-García, A, Cuesta-Valero, FJosé, Beltrami, H, Hansen-Ketchum, P, MacDougall, D, Ogden5, NHume
JournalEnvironmental Health Perspectives
Volume125
Issue5
Date Published05/2017
Keywordsblack-legged, blacklegged, Canada, disease, expansion, geography, invasion, lyme, spread, ticks, where
Abstract

Our results highlight the potential for climate change to have an effect on future Lyme disease risk in Canada even if the Paris Agreement’s goal to keep global warming below 2°C is achieved, although mitigation reducing emissions from RCP8.5 levels to those of RCP6.0 or less would be expected to slow tick invasion after the 2030s.

URLhttps://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/ehp57/